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15Feb12 - Introduction to Conditional Probability

Event Description

What is the likelihood of a coupling fails and the thrown coupling hits and injures a near-by person? During risk assessment, the risk assessors are often required to estimate probability of this type of multiple events. A very useful formula is the multiplication of the conditional probabilities. While conditional probability is very common in sport, e.g. chance of NY Giants to come back in 4th quarter, it is usually not taught in the introductory probability course. The aim of this talk is to introduce this probability concept. Another objective of this presentation is to demonstrate the use of Audience Response System.

Speaker(s):

Aldous Wong

Aldous has worked at Imperial Oil for 31 years in the field of statistics and continuous improvement. He is currently a Master Blackbelt at Imperial Oil for Lean Six Sigma deployment. His primary responsibility is the training and development of in house BlackBelts. Aldous achieved his MBA from the UofC, Master of Industrial Engineering from UoT and a Master of Science (statistics) from Rutgers University. He is a ASQ certified 6-sigma Black Belt and taught Business Analytic at UoC evening MBA program and Statistics at SAIT.

When:
Date: February 15, 2012
Start Time: 6:00 PM
Event Duration: 1.5 hours

Cost:
Members: $Free.00
Non-members: $Free.00

Contact:
ASQ-QDG-15Feb2012
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There is no need to confirm attendance at QDG's, and please feel free to bring along a friend or colleague.

Aldous will also demonstrate the use of Audience Response System - these things are cool you gotta see this.

Where:
DeVry Institute of Technology
2700 3 Avenue SE
Calgary, AB T2A 7W4

Event Room: please check event for room number
Please park in visitor parking. Guests can park in the DeVry parking lot after 5:30pm without fear of being towed.

location logo

1 Comment(s)

Posted by:  RickB  on February 20, 2012
#1

Hello All.  Aldous had a footnote to add
“I forgot to mention the following paper (worth reading).  According to the author, “confusion of the inverse” (i.e. P(A|B) vs P(B|A)) is one of the 7 important Statistics and Probability topics every educated citizen should know:
“What Educated Citizens Should know about Statistics and Probability” at http://www.ics.uci.edu/~jutts/AmerStat2003.pdf


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